Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for March 28 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC, Friday, 28/3/2025

📅 28/3/2025 13:00

Mathare United 2.34

X 2.85

Mara Sugar FC 3.11

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC

Some important points for the tip for Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mathare United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $260.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mara Sugar FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 Mara Sugar FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Mara Sugar FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC for the Kenya Premier League – 28 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1290211 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Mathare United?

🔵 Mathare United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $696.80;
• And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$216.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $536.50;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$173.50.

Is betting on Mara Sugar FC worth it?

🔴 Mara Sugar FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $422.00
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$378.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mathare United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Mathare United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Mathare United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Mara Sugar FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mathare United x Mara Sugar FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.