Mathare United x Nairobi City Stars Betting tips for November 27 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Mathare United x Nairobi City Stars, Wednesday, 27/11/2024

📅 27/11/2024 10:00

Mathare United 2.20

X 2.90

Nairobi City Stars 3.24

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mathare United x Nairobi City Stars:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Mathare United x Nairobi City Stars

The main points for the tip for Mathare United x Nairobi City Stars: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mathare United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $575.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nairobi City Stars in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0. 👉 Mathare United did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Mathare United scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Mathare United matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Mathare United x Nairobi City Stars, with Mathare United as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Mathare United is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Mathare United x Nairobi City Stars for the Kenya Premier League – 27 of November

When the best bet on Mathare United x Nairobi City Stars is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mathare United x Nairobi City Stars

Is it a good idea to bet on Mathare United?

🔵 Mathare United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $456.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$164.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $646.00;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$14.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Nairobi City Stars worth it?

🔴 Nairobi City Stars: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $627.20;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$92.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mathare United x Nairobi City Stars

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mathare United
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mathare United x Nairobi City Stars

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Mathare United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Mathare United. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mathare United x Nairobi City Stars

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 1.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.