Mathare United x Posta Rangers Betting tips for April 5 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Mathare United x Posta Rangers, Saturday, 5/4/2025

📅 5/4/2025 10:00

Mathare United 2.66

X 2.85

Posta Rangers 2.66

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mathare United x Posta Rangers:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Mathare United x Posta Rangers

Some important points for the tip for Mathare United x Posta Rangers: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mathare United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $505.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Posta Rangers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Mathare United scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Posta Rangers scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Posta Rangers matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Posta Rangers conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Mathare United x Posta Rangers for the Kenya Premier League – 5 of April

When the best bet on Mathare United x Posta Rangers is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1295872 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mathare United x Posta Rangers

Is it a good idea to bet on Mathare United?

🔵 Mathare United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $531.20;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$148.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $555.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$145.00.

Should you bet on Posta Rangers?

🔴 Posta Rangers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $630.80;
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mathare United x Posta Rangers

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mathare United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mathare United x Posta Rangers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Mathare United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Mathare United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Mathare United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mathare United x Posta Rangers

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.