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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Mathare United x Shabana FC Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 21 December 2024, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
Mathare United Mathare United
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 38% 1 X 2
Shabana FC Shabana FC
ODD: @2.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Mathare United x Shabana FC Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Mathare United x Shabana FC, Saturday, 21/12/2024
📅 21/12/2024
13:00
Mathare United Mathare United
2.50
X
2.80
Shabana FC Shabana FC
2.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mathare United x Shabana FC:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1400.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Mathare United x Shabana FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mathare United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $575.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Shabana FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 In the last 6 Mathare United matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Shabana FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Shabana FC caused at least one sending-off in its last 3 matches as the away team.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Mathare United x Shabana FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Mathare United x Shabana FC:

Analysis from Mathare United x Shabana FC for the Kenya Premier League – 21 of December

🏟️ Mathare United X Shabana FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 21 of December, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Mathare United – Winning probability: 33.14% | Fair line: 3.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.31% | Fair line: 2.61
🔴 Shabana FC – Winning probability: 28.55% | Fair line: 3.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mathare United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Mathare United x Shabana FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1238880 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mathare United x Shabana FC

Is betting on Mathare United worth it?

🔵 Mathare United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $684.00
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$64.00.

Should you bet on Shabana FC?

🔴 Shabana FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $551.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$159.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Mathare United x Shabana FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mathare United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mathare United x Shabana FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Mathare United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Mathare United.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mathare United x Shabana FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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