Mathare United x Shabana FC Betting tips for February 18 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Mathare United x Shabana FC, Wednesday, 18/2/2026

📅 18/2/2026 15:00

Mathare United 3.30

X 2.95

Shabana FC 2.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mathare United x Shabana FC:

🔮 Shabana FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Shabana FC, you can win up to $1100.00!

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Important information for your tip for Mathare United x Shabana FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mathare United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $285.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Shabana FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $375.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Mathare United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Shabana FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Shabana FC has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Mathare United x Shabana FC for the Kenya Premier League – 18 of February

Odds and handicap movements for Mathare United x Shabana FC

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Mathare United x Shabana FC.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mathare United x Shabana FC

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mathare United x Shabana FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1482747 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Should you bet on Mathare United?

🔵 Mathare United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $552.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $526.50
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$203.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Shabana FC?

🔴 Shabana FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$78.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mathare United x Shabana FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Mathare United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mathare United x Shabana FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Mathare United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Mathare United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Shabana FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mathare United x Shabana FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Mathare United x Shabana FC