Muranga Seal x Kakamega Homeboyz Betting tips for October 27 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Muranga Seal x Kakamega Homeboyz, Sunday, 27/10/2024

📅 27/10/2024 12:00

Muranga Seal 2.45

X 2.80

Kakamega Homeboyz 2.89

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Muranga Seal x Kakamega Homeboyz:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Muranga Seal x Kakamega Homeboyz

Important information for your tip for Muranga Seal x Kakamega Homeboyz: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Muranga Seal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kakamega Homeboyz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 Muranga Seal matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Kakamega Homeboyz matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Kakamega Homeboyz conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).

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Analysis from Muranga Seal x Kakamega Homeboyz for the Kenya Premier League – 27 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Muranga Seal x Kakamega Homeboyz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1209598 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Muranga Seal x Kakamega Homeboyz

Is betting on Muranga Seal worth it?

🔵 Muranga Seal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $565.50;
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$44.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $576.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$104.00.

Is it worth betting on Kakamega Homeboyz?

🔴 Kakamega Homeboyz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $548.10;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$161.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match Muranga Seal x Kakamega Homeboyz

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Muranga Seal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Muranga Seal x Kakamega Homeboyz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Muranga Seal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Muranga Seal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Muranga Seal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Muranga Seal x Kakamega Homeboyz

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.