Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia Betting tips for October 28 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia, Monday, 28/10/2024

📅 28/10/2024 12:00

Nairobi City Stars 4.55

X 3.12

Gor Mahia 1.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia

Important information for your tip for Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nairobi City Stars in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-121.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nairobi City Stars scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Nairobi City Stars matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Nairobi City Stars conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Nairobi City Stars conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Gor Mahia. 👉 Even as a visitor, Gor Mahia won the last 3 head-to-head matches Nairobi City Stars´s territory

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia for the Kenya Premier League – 28 of October

When the best bet on Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1210120 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia

Is betting on Nairobi City Stars worth it?

🔵 Nairobi City Stars: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $461.50
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$408.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $445.20;
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$344.80.

Is it worth betting on Gor Mahia?

🔴 Gor Mahia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $514.80;
• And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$174.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Nairobi City Stars
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Nairobi City Stars, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Nairobi City Stars.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Gor Mahia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nairobi City Stars x Gor Mahia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.