Nairobi City Stars x Kariobangi Sharks Betting tips for March 29 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Nairobi City Stars x Kariobangi Sharks, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 10:00

Nairobi City Stars 2.72

X 2.90

Kariobangi Sharks 2.52

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nairobi City Stars x Kariobangi Sharks:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Nairobi City Stars x Kariobangi Sharks

Some important points for the tip for Nairobi City Stars x Kariobangi Sharks: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nairobi City Stars in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kariobangi Sharks in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Kariobangi Sharks did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 Kariobangi Sharks did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Kariobangi Sharks, Nairobi City Stars scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Kariobangi Sharks matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Nairobi City Stars conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Kariobangi Sharks. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Kariobangi Sharks has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Nairobi City Stars x Kariobangi Sharks for the Kenya Premier League – 29 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nairobi City Stars and Kariobangi Sharks.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1290777 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nairobi City Stars x Kariobangi Sharks

Is it worth betting on Nairobi City Stars?

🔵 Nairobi City Stars: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $567.60;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$102.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $627.00;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$43.00.

Should you bet on Kariobangi Sharks?

🔴 Kariobangi Sharks: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $516.80
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$143.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nairobi City Stars x Kariobangi Sharks

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nairobi City Stars
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nairobi City Stars x Kariobangi Sharks

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Nairobi City Stars, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Nairobi City Stars.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Nairobi City Stars.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nairobi City Stars x Kariobangi Sharks

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.