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Home » Predictions » Nairobi City Stars x Muranga Seal Betting tips for December 7 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 07 December 2024, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Muranga Seal Muranga Seal
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Nairobi City Stars x Muranga Seal Betting tips for December 7 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Nairobi City Stars x Muranga Seal, Saturday, 7/12/2024
📅 7/12/2024
13:00
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
2.26
X
3.00
Muranga Seal Muranga Seal
3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nairobi City Stars x Muranga Seal:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Nairobi City Stars x Muranga Seal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nairobi City Stars in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Muranga Seal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nairobi City Stars conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Muranga Seal has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Nairobi City Stars x Muranga Seal for the Kenya Premier League – 7 of December

🏟️ Nairobi City Stars X Muranga Seal – Kenya Premier League
📅 7 of December, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Nairobi City Stars – Winning probability: 35.62% | Fair line: 2.81
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.48% | Fair line: 2.9
🔴 Muranga Seal – Winning probability: 29.90% | Fair line: 3.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nairobi City Stars
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nairobi City Stars x Muranga Seal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1233239 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nairobi City Stars x Muranga Seal

Is it a good idea to bet on Nairobi City Stars?

🔵 Nairobi City Stars: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $453.60;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$186.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $680.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$20.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Muranga Seal?

🔴 Muranga Seal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nairobi City Stars x Muranga Seal

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nairobi City Stars
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nairobi City Stars x Muranga Seal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Nairobi City Stars and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Nairobi City Stars.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nairobi City Stars x Muranga Seal

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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