Nairobi United x Gor Mahia Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Premier League
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:00 |
 Nairobi United4.32 |
X 2.98 |
Gor Mahia  1.86 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nairobi United x Gor Mahia:
🔮 Gor Mahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gor Mahia, you can win up to $930.00!
Important information for your tip for Nairobi United x Gor Mahia:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nairobi United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-47.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $322.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Gor Mahia scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Nairobi United matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Gor Mahia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Nairobi United conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Gor Mahia has not lost any of them.
Looking for another bookie to bet on Nairobi United x Gor Mahia?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Nairobi United x Gor Mahia:
Analysis from Nairobi United x Gor Mahia for the Kenya Premier League – 21 of December
🏟️ Nairobi United X Gor Mahia – Kenya Premier League
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Nairobi United – Winning probability: 14.78% | Fair line: 6.77
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.52% | Fair line: 3.92
🔴 Gor Mahia – Winning probability: 59.70% | Fair line: 1.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Nairobi United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nairobi United x Gor Mahia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Nairobi United x Gor Mahia
Should you bet on Nairobi United?
🔵 Nairobi United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $498.00
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$352.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $514.80;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$225.20.
Is betting on Gor Mahia worth it?
🔴 Gor Mahia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $516.00
- And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$116.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nairobi United x Gor Mahia
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Nairobi United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nairobi United x Gor Mahia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Nairobi United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Nairobi United.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nairobi United x Gor Mahia
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
