2 de Mayo x Cerro Porteno Betting tips for April 20 in Paraguay Division Profesional
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20/4/2024 00:30 |
 2 de Mayo3.80 |
X 3.48 |
Cerro Porteno  1.80 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for 2 de Mayo x Cerro Porteno:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1740.00!
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The main points for the tip for 2 de Mayo x Cerro Porteno: ๐ If you had bet $100 on 2 de Mayo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-5.0. |
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Analysis from 2 de Mayo x Cerro Porteno for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 20 of April
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๐๏ธ 2 de Mayo X Cerro Porteno – Paraguay Division Profesional |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between 2 de Mayo and Cerro Porteno.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1100500 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for 2 de Mayo x Cerro Porteno
Should you bet on 2 de Mayo?
๐ต 2 de Mayo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $448.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$392.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $843.20;
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$183.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on Cerro Porteno?
๐ด Cerro Porteno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
- And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$100.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match 2 de Mayo x Cerro Porteno
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 2 de Mayo
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for 2 de Mayo x Cerro Porteno
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 2 de Mayo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 2 de Mayo.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Cerro Porteno.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for 2 de Mayo x Cerro Porteno
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
