Posta Rangers x AFC Leopards Betting tips for April 14 in Kenya Premier League
| ๐
14/4/2024 12:00 |
 Posta Rangers2.32 |
X 2.90 |
AFC Leopards  3.01 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Posta Rangers x AFC Leopards:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1450.00!
|
Some important points for the tip for Posta Rangers x AFC Leopards: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Posta Rangers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-104.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Posta Rangers x AFC Leopards?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Posta Rangers x AFC Leopards for the Kenya Premier League – 14 of April
|
๐๏ธ Posta Rangers X AFC Leopards – Kenya Premier League |
When the best bet on Posta Rangers x AFC Leopards is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1095860 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Posta Rangers x AFC Leopards
Is it worth betting on Posta Rangers?
๐ต Posta Rangers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $382.80;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$327.20.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $760.00;
- And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$160.00.
Should you bet on AFC Leopards?
๐ด AFC Leopards: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.01. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $623.10;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$66.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Posta Rangers x AFC Leopards
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Posta Rangers
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Posta Rangers x AFC Leopards
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Posta Rangers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Posta Rangers.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 AFC Leopards.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Posta Rangers x AFC Leopards
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
