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Home Β» Predictions Β» Kenyan Premier League Β» Posta Rangers x FC Talanta Betting tips for May 7 in Kenya Premier League
Tuesday, 07 May 2024, 09h00 Kenya Premier League
Posta Rangers Posta Rangers
PREDICTION No tip
FC Talanta FC Talanta
Don't miss this prediction!

Posta Rangers x FC Talanta Betting tips for May 7 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Posta Rangers x FC Talanta, Tuesday, 7/5/2024
πŸ“… 7/5/2024
09:00
Posta Rangers Posta Rangers
2.15
X
3.12
FC Talanta FC Talanta
3.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Posta Rangers x FC Talanta:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Posta Rangers x FC Talanta

The main points for the tip for Posta Rangers x FC Talanta:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Posta Rangers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-104.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Talanta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $430.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, FC Talanta scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, FC Talanta conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, FC Talanta has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Posta Rangers x FC Talanta for the Kenya Premier League – 7 of May

🏟️ Posta Rangers X FC Talanta – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 7 of May, 2024 – 09:00
πŸ”΅ Posta Rangers – Winning probability: 35.40% | Fair line: 2.82
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.92% | Fair line: 2.78
πŸ”΄ FC Talanta – Winning probability: 28.68% | Fair line: 3.49
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Posta Rangers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Posta Rangers x FC Talanta is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1113463 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Posta Rangers x FC Talanta

Should you bet on Posta Rangers?

πŸ”΅ Posta Rangers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $402.50
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$247.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $763.20;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$123.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on FC Talanta?

πŸ”΄ FC Talanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $638.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$72.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Posta Rangers x FC Talanta

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Posta Rangers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Posta Rangers x FC Talanta

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Posta Rangers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Posta Rangers.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Posta Rangers x FC Talanta

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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