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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Posta Rangers x Kakamega Homeboyz Betting tips for May 18 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 18 May 2024, 10h00 Kenya Premier League
Posta Rangers Posta Rangers
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 40% 1 X 2
Kakamega Homeboyz Kakamega Homeboyz
ODD: @2.88 Don't miss this prediction!

Posta Rangers x Kakamega Homeboyz Betting tips for May 18 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Posta Rangers x Kakamega Homeboyz, Saturday, 18/5/2024
📅 18/5/2024
10:00
Posta Rangers Posta Rangers
2.33
X
2.88
Kakamega Homeboyz Kakamega Homeboyz
2.99

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Posta Rangers x Kakamega Homeboyz:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1440.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Posta Rangers x Kakamega Homeboyz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Posta Rangers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kakamega Homeboyz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Playing as the home team, Posta Rangers conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Kakamega Homeboyz.
👉 Even as a visitor, Kakamega Homeboyz won the last 3 head-to-head matches Posta Rangers´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Posta Rangers x Kakamega Homeboyz for the Kenya Premier League – 18 of May

🏟️ Posta Rangers X Kakamega Homeboyz – Kenya Premier League
📅 18 of May, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Posta Rangers – Winning probability: 31.27% | Fair line: 3.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.12% | Fair line: 2.49
🔴 Kakamega Homeboyz – Winning probability: 28.62% | Fair line: 3.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Posta Rangers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Posta Rangers x Kakamega Homeboyz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1120517 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Posta Rangers x Kakamega Homeboyz

Is it worth betting on Posta Rangers?

🔵 Posta Rangers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $412.30;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$277.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $752.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$152.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kakamega Homeboyz?

🔴 Kakamega Homeboyz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $577.10;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Posta Rangers x Kakamega Homeboyz

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Posta Rangers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Posta Rangers x Kakamega Homeboyz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Posta Rangers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Posta Rangers.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Kakamega Homeboyz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Posta Rangers x Kakamega Homeboyz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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