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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Posta Rangers x Kariobangi Sharks Betting tips for December 8 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 08 December 2024, 10h00 Kenya Premier League
Posta Rangers Posta Rangers
PREDICTION No tip
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
Don't miss this prediction!

Posta Rangers x Kariobangi Sharks Betting tips for December 8 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Posta Rangers x Kariobangi Sharks, Sunday, 8/12/2024
📅 8/12/2024
10:00
Posta Rangers Posta Rangers
2.76
X
3.00
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
2.46

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Posta Rangers x Kariobangi Sharks:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Posta Rangers x Kariobangi Sharks

Some important points for the tip for Posta Rangers x Kariobangi Sharks:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Posta Rangers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kariobangi Sharks in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Kariobangi Sharks matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Posta Rangers conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Kariobangi Sharks conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Posta Rangers conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Kariobangi Sharks.
👉 It is not a good time for Posta Rangers as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, Kariobangi Sharks won the last 4 head-to-head matches Posta Rangers´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Posta Rangers x Kariobangi Sharks for the Kenya Premier League – 8 of December

🏟️ Posta Rangers X Kariobangi Sharks – Kenya Premier League
📅 8 of December, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Posta Rangers – Winning probability: 28.76% | Fair line: 3.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.06% | Fair line: 3.22
🔴 Kariobangi Sharks – Winning probability: 40.17% | Fair line: 2.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Posta Rangers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Posta Rangers x Kariobangi Sharks is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233707 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Posta Rangers x Kariobangi Sharks

Should you bet on Posta Rangers?

🔵 Posta Rangers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $510.40;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$199.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $620.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is it worth betting on Kariobangi Sharks?

🔴 Kariobangi Sharks: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $584.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$16.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Posta Rangers x Kariobangi Sharks

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Posta Rangers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Posta Rangers x Kariobangi Sharks

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Posta Rangers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Posta Rangers.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Posta Rangers x Kariobangi Sharks

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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