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Home Β» Predictions Β» Kenyan Premier League Β» Posta Rangers x Tusker Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 21 December 2024, 10h00 Kenya Premier League
Posta Rangers Posta Rangers
PREDICTION No tip
Tusker Tusker
Don't miss this prediction!

Posta Rangers x Tusker Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Posta Rangers x Tusker, Saturday, 21/12/2024
πŸ“… 21/12/2024
10:00
Posta Rangers Posta Rangers
3.90
X
3.38
Tusker Tusker
1.81

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Posta Rangers x Tusker:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Posta Rangers x Tusker

The main points for the tip for Posta Rangers x Tusker:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Posta Rangers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tusker in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-33.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Tusker scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Posta Rangers matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Posta Rangers conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Posta Rangers x Tusker?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Posta Rangers x Tusker:

Analysis from Posta Rangers x Tusker for the Kenya Premier League – 21 of December

🏟️ Posta Rangers X Tusker – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 21 of December, 2024 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ Posta Rangers – Winning probability: 17.74% | Fair line: 5.64
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.23% | Fair line: 3.81
πŸ”΄ Tusker – Winning probability: 56.03% | Fair line: 1.78
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Posta Rangers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Posta Rangers and Tusker.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1238880 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Posta Rangers x Tusker

Should you bet on Posta Rangers?

πŸ”΅ Posta Rangers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $522.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$298.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $618.80
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$121.20.

Is betting on Tusker worth it?

πŸ”΄ Tusker: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $453.60;
  • And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$13.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Posta Rangers x Tusker

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Posta Rangers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Posta Rangers x Tusker

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Posta Rangers, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Posta Rangers.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Posta Rangers.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Posta Rangers x Tusker

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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