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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz Betting tips for April 20 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 20 April 2024, 12h00 Kenya Premier League
Shabana FC Shabana FC
PREDICTION No tip
Kakamega Homeboyz Kakamega Homeboyz
Don't miss this prediction!

Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz Betting tips for April 20 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz, Saturday, 20/4/2024
📅 20/4/2024
12:00
Shabana FC Shabana FC
2.94
X
2.90
Kakamega Homeboyz Kakamega Homeboyz
2.35

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz

Some important points for the tip for Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Shabana FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kakamega Homeboyz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Kakamega Homeboyz has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz for the Kenya Premier League – 20 of April

🏟️ Shabana FC X Kakamega Homeboyz – Kenya Premier League
📅 20 of April, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Shabana FC – Winning probability: 24.07% | Fair line: 4.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.77% | Fair line: 2.88
🔴 Kakamega Homeboyz – Winning probability: 41.16% | Fair line: 2.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Shabana FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1100583 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz

Is it a good idea to bet on Shabana FC?

🔵 Shabana FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $465.60
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$294.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $665.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$15.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on Kakamega Homeboyz?

🔴 Kakamega Homeboyz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $553.50;
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$36.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Shabana FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Shabana FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Shabana FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Kakamega Homeboyz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shabana FC x Kakamega Homeboyz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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