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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for December 17 in Kenya Premier League
Wednesday, 17 December 2025, 11h00 Kenya Premier League
Shabana FC Shabana FC
PREDICTION No tip
Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
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Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for December 17 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC, Wednesday, 17/12/2025
📅 17/12/2025
11:00
Shabana FC Shabana FC
1.93
X
3.00
Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
3.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC

Some important points for the tip for Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Shabana FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-105.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mara Sugar FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $145.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Mara Sugar FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Mara Sugar FC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC?

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Analysis from Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC for the Kenya Premier League – 17 of December

🏟️ Shabana FC X Mara Sugar FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 17 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Shabana FC – Winning probability: 43.94% | Fair line: 2.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.61% | Fair line: 3.07
🔴 Mara Sugar FC – Winning probability: 23.45% | Fair line: 4.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Shabana FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1454522 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC

Is it worth betting on Shabana FC?

🔵 Shabana FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $409.20;
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$150.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $660.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Is betting on Mara Sugar FC worth it?

🔴 Mara Sugar FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $667.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$103.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Shabana FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Shabana FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Shabana FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Shabana FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shabana FC x Mara Sugar FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves