Sofapaka FC x AFC Leopards Betting tips for December 15 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Sofapaka FC x AFC Leopards, Sunday, 15/12/2024

📅 15/12/2024 13:00

Sofapaka FC 2.52

X 2.80

AFC Leopards 2.78

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sofapaka FC x AFC Leopards:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Sofapaka FC x AFC Leopards

The main points for the tip for Sofapaka FC x AFC Leopards: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Leopards in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against AFC Leopards, Sofapaka FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Sofapaka FC x AFC Leopards, with Sofapaka FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sofapaka FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, AFC Leopards conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Sofapaka FC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against AFC Leopards playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Sofapaka FC x AFC Leopards?

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Analysis from Sofapaka FC x AFC Leopards for the Kenya Premier League – 15 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sofapaka FC and AFC Leopards.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236762 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sofapaka FC x AFC Leopards

Is it worth betting on Sofapaka FC?

🔵 Sofapaka FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $516.80
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$143.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $648.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on AFC Leopards?

🔴 AFC Leopards: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $534.00
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$166.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sofapaka FC x AFC Leopards

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sofapaka FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sofapaka FC x AFC Leopards

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Sofapaka FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sofapaka FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Sofapaka FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sofapaka FC x AFC Leopards

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.