Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC Betting tips for February 18 in Kenya Premier League
| 📅 18/2/2026 12:00 |
Sofapaka FC3.25 |
X 2.90 |
Kenya Police FC ![]() 2.20 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC:
🔮 Kenya Police FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kenya Police FC, you can win up to $1100.00!
Some important points for the tip for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Kenya Police FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC, with Sofapaka FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sofapaka FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Kenya Police FC has not lost any of them.
👉 Sofapaka FC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Kenya Police FC playing at home.
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC for the Kenya Premier League – 18 of February
🏟️ Sofapaka FC X Kenya Police FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 18 of February, 2026 – 12:00
🔵 Sofapaka FC – Winning probability: 20.93% | Fair line: 4.78
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.92% | Fair line: 3.23
🔴 Kenya Police FC – Winning probability: 48.16% | Fair line: 2.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sofapaka FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Odds and handicap movements for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC
It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC.
Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Sofapaka FC are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.2 for Sofapaka FC and now the odds are @3.2.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.875 for Draw and now the odds are @2.875.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Kenya Police FC are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.2 for Kenya Police FC and now the odds are @2.2.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.25 for Kenya Police FC is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 1.75 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1482747 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Should you bet on Sofapaka FC?
🔵 Sofapaka FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $472.50;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$317.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $589.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.00.
Is it worth betting on Kenya Police FC?
🔴 Kenya Police FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 480 times – profiting $576.00;
- And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$56.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sofapaka FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Sofapaka FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Sofapaka FC.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC
Who is the favourite: Sofapaka FC or Kenya Police FC?
According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is Kenya Police FC, with a win probability of 48.16%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!
Who will win: Sofapaka FC or Kenya Police FC?
There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Kenya Police FC has the better chance to win, with a probability of 48.16%. If you choose to back Kenya Police FC, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Sofapaka FC beating Kenya Police FC today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Sofapaka FC would win about 21 of those against Kenya Police FC.
What are the chances of Kenya Police FC beating Sofapaka FC today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Kenya Police FC would take victory in roughly 48 of them against Sofapaka FC.
Which team should I bet on: Sofapaka FC or Kenya Police FC?
Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: Kenya Police FC Wins, with an expected value of 5.77%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!
How much is Sofapaka FC paying today? See what you can win by betting on Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC:
The odds for Sofapaka FC to beat Kenya Police FC today are around 3.25. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh3250.00 if Sofapaka FC wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Kenya Police FC paying today? See what you can win by betting on Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC:
The odds for Kenya Police FC to beat Sofapaka FC today are around 2.20. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2200.00 if Kenya Police FC wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

Sofapaka FC