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Home » Predictions » Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC Betting tips for October 27 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 27 October 2024, 12h00 Kenya Premier League
Sofapaka FC Sofapaka FC
PREDICTION Kenya Police FC Wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC
ODD: @1.79 Don't miss this prediction!

Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC Betting tips for October 27 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC, Sunday, 27/10/2024
📅 27/10/2024
12:00
Sofapaka FC Sofapaka FC
4.42
X
3.18
Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC
1.79

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC:

🔮 Kenya Police FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kenya Police FC, you can win up to $895.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Kenya Police FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $500.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Kenya Police FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Sofapaka FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC, with Sofapaka FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Kenya Police FC has not lost any of them.
👉 Sofapaka FC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Kenya Police FC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC for the Kenya Premier League – 27 of October

🏟️ Sofapaka FC X Kenya Police FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 27 of October, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Sofapaka FC – Winning probability: 12.72% | Fair line: 7.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.70% | Fair line: 4.22
🔴 Kenya Police FC – Winning probability: 63.58% | Fair line: 1.57
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sofapaka FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1209598 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC

Should you bet on Sofapaka FC?

🔵 Sofapaka FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $444.60;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$425.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $523.20
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$236.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kenya Police FC?

🔴 Kenya Police FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $505.60;
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$145.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sofapaka FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Sofapaka FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Sofapaka FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Kenya Police FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sofapaka FC x Kenya Police FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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