Sofapaka FC x Nairobi City Stars Betting tips for March 14 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Sofapaka FC x Nairobi City Stars, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025 10:00

Sofapaka FC 1.72

X 3.10

Nairobi City Stars 5.02

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sofapaka FC x Nairobi City Stars:

🔮 Sofapaka FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sofapaka FC, you can win up to $860.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Sofapaka FC x Nairobi City Stars: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nairobi City Stars in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Nairobi City Stars, Sofapaka FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Nairobi City Stars matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Sofapaka FC x Nairobi City Stars, with Sofapaka FC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Sofapaka FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Nairobi City Stars conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Sofapaka FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Nairobi City Stars.

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Analysis from Sofapaka FC x Nairobi City Stars for the Kenya Premier League – 14 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sofapaka FC x Nairobi City Stars right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1280922 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sofapaka FC x Nairobi City Stars

Is it worth betting on Sofapaka FC?

🔵 Sofapaka FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
• And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$32.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $588.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Nairobi City Stars?

🔴 Nairobi City Stars: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – profiting $482.40;
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$397.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sofapaka FC x Nairobi City Stars

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sofapaka FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sofapaka FC x Nairobi City Stars

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Sofapaka FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Sofapaka FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Nairobi City Stars.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sofapaka FC x Nairobi City Stars

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.