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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Tusker x FC Talanta Betting tips for April 14 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 14 April 2024, 12h00 Kenya Premier League
Tusker Tusker
PREDICTION No tip
FC Talanta FC Talanta
Don't miss this prediction!

Tusker x FC Talanta Betting tips for April 14 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Tusker x FC Talanta, Sunday, 14/4/2024
📅 14/4/2024
12:00
Tusker Tusker
1.58
X
3.56
FC Talanta FC Talanta
5.56

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tusker x FC Talanta:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Tusker x FC Talanta

Important information for your tip for Tusker x FC Talanta:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tusker in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $240.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Talanta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against FC Talanta, Tusker scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Tusker matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 FC Talanta matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, FC Talanta conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tusker x FC Talanta?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tusker x FC Talanta, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tusker x FC Talanta for the Kenya Premier League – 14 of April

🏟️ Tusker X FC Talanta – Kenya Premier League
📅 14 of April, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Tusker – Winning probability: 67.77% | Fair line: 1.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.80% | Fair line: 4.59
🔴 FC Talanta – Winning probability: 10.43% | Fair line: 9.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tusker
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tusker x FC Talanta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1095860 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tusker x FC Talanta

Is betting on Tusker worth it?

🔵 Tusker: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – profiting $394.40;
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$74.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $563.20;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$216.80.

Should you bet on FC Talanta?

🔴 FC Talanta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $456.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$444.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tusker x FC Talanta

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tusker
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tusker x FC Talanta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Tusker, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Tusker.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 FC Talanta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tusker x FC Talanta

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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