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Home Β» Predictions Β» Kenyan Premier League Β» Tusker x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for November 27 in Kenya Premier League
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
Tusker Tusker
PREDICTION No tip
Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Tusker x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for November 27 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Tusker x Mara Sugar FC, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
πŸ“… 27/11/2024
13:00
Tusker Tusker
2.16
X
3.26
Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
2.88

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tusker x Mara Sugar FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Tusker x Mara Sugar FC

The main points for the tip for Tusker x Mara Sugar FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tusker in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-11.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mara Sugar FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tusker scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Mara Sugar FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Mara Sugar FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tusker conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Mara Sugar FC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Tusker x Mara Sugar FC for the Kenya Premier League – 27 of November

🏟️ Tusker X Mara Sugar FC – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 27 of November, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Tusker – Winning probability: 44.98% | Fair line: 2.22
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.01% | Fair line: 4.0
πŸ”΄ Mara Sugar FC – Winning probability: 30.01% | Fair line: 3.33
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tusker
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tusker and Mara Sugar FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1228778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tusker x Mara Sugar FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Tusker?

πŸ”΅ Tusker: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $522.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$28.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $565.00
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$185.00.

Is it worth betting on Mara Sugar FC?

πŸ”΄ Mara Sugar FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $564.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$136.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tusker x Mara Sugar FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tusker
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tusker x Mara Sugar FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Tusker and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Tusker.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Mara Sugar FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tusker x Mara Sugar FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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