Tusker x Nzoia Sugar Betting tips for May 6 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Tusker x Nzoia Sugar, Monday, 6/5/2024

📅 6/5/2024 12:00

Tusker 1.43

X 3.60

Nzoia Sugar 7.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tusker x Nzoia Sugar:

🔮 Tusker wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tusker, you can win up to $715.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Tusker x Nzoia Sugar: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tusker in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $40.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nzoia Sugar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0. 👉 Nzoia Sugar did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tusker scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Nzoia Sugar conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Tusker has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Nzoia Sugar playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Nzoia Sugar as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Tusker x Nzoia Sugar?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tusker x Nzoia Sugar, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tusker x Nzoia Sugar for the Kenya Premier League – 6 of May

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tusker and Nzoia Sugar.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1112137 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tusker x Nzoia Sugar

Is betting on Tusker worth it?

🔵 Tusker: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $352.60
• And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$172.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$460.00.

Is it worth betting on Nzoia Sugar?

🔴 Nzoia Sugar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $260.00;
• And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$700.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tusker x Nzoia Sugar

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Tusker
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tusker x Nzoia Sugar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Tusker, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Tusker.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tusker x Nzoia Sugar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.