Tusker x Posta Rangers Betting tips for March 14 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Tusker x Posta Rangers, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025 13:00

Tusker 1.50

X 3.60

Posta Rangers 6.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tusker x Posta Rangers:

🔮 Tusker wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tusker, you can win up to $750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Tusker x Posta Rangers: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tusker in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Posta Rangers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Posta Rangers scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Tusker matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Tusker x Posta Rangers, with Tusker as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Posta Rangers matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Posta Rangers conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Tusker has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Posta Rangers playing at home.

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Analysis from Tusker x Posta Rangers for the Kenya Premier League – 14 of March

When the best bet on Tusker x Posta Rangers is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281036 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tusker x Posta Rangers

Should you bet on Tusker?

🔵 Tusker: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $340.00;
• And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$20.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Posta Rangers?

🔴 Posta Rangers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $350.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$580.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tusker x Posta Rangers

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Tusker
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tusker x Posta Rangers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Tusker, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Tusker.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Tusker.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tusker x Posta Rangers

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.