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Home ยป Predictions ยป Tusker x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for August 24 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 24 August 2024, 10h00 Kenya Premier League
Tusker Tusker
PREDICTION Tusker wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Sofapaka FC Sofapaka FC
ODD: @1.52 Don't miss this prediction!

Tusker x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for August 24 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Tusker x Sofapaka FC, Saturday, 24/8/2024
๐Ÿ“… 24/8/2024
10:00
Tusker Tusker
1.52
X
3.62
Sofapaka FC Sofapaka FC
6.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Tusker x Sofapaka FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tusker wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tusker, you can win up to $760.00!

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The main points for the tip for Tusker x Sofapaka FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tusker scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sofapaka FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Tusker is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Sofapaka FC has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Tusker has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sofapaka FC playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Tusker x Sofapaka FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Tusker x Sofapaka FC:

Analysis from Tusker x Sofapaka FC for the Kenya Premier League – 24 of August

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Tusker X Sofapaka FC – Kenya Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of August, 2024 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต Tusker – Winning probability: 78.27% | Fair line: 1.28
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.70% | Fair line: 6.37
๐Ÿ”ด Sofapaka FC – Winning probability: 6.03% | Fair line: 16.58
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Tusker
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tusker x Sofapaka FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1166703 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tusker x Sofapaka FC

Should you bet on Tusker?

๐Ÿ”ต Tusker: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $405.60;
  • And would lose other 220 times – losing -$220.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$185.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $419.20
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$420.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sofapaka FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Sofapaka FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $300.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$640.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tusker x Sofapaka FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Tusker
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tusker x Sofapaka FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Tusker, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Tusker. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tusker x Sofapaka FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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