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Home Β» Predictions Β» Kenyan Premier League Β» Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for January 12 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 12h00 Kenya Premier League
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
PREDICTION No tip
Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for January 12 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC, Sunday, 12/1/2025
πŸ“… 12/1/2025
12:00
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
2.36
X
2.90
Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
2.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC

Important information for your tip for Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ulinzi Stars in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $225.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mara Sugar FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Mara Sugar FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Mara Sugar FC as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC for the Kenya Premier League – 12 of January

🏟️ Ulinzi Stars X Mara Sugar FC – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 12 of January, 2025 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Ulinzi Stars – Winning probability: 35.71% | Fair line: 2.8
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.30% | Fair line: 2.92
πŸ”΄ Mara Sugar FC – Winning probability: 29.99% | Fair line: 3.33
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ulinzi Stars
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC

Should you bet on Ulinzi Stars?

πŸ”΅ Ulinzi Stars: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $489.60
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$150.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $646.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$14.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Mara Sugar FC?

πŸ”΄ Mara Sugar FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $585.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$115.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ulinzi Stars
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Ulinzi Stars and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Ulinzi Stars.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ulinzi Stars x Mara Sugar FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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