Athletic Bilbao x Osasuna Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Athletic Bilbao x Osasuna, Saturday, 11/5/2024

📅 11/5/2024 19:00

Athletic Bilbao 1.40

X 4.40

Osasuna 8.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Athletic Bilbao x Osasuna:

🔮 Athletic Bilbao wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athletic Bilbao, you can win up to $700.00!

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The main points for the tip for Athletic Bilbao x Osasuna: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Osasuna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Athletic Bilbao scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Athletic Bilbao matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao x Osasuna, with Athletic Bilbao as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Osasuna matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Athletic Bilbao conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Athletic Bilbao has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Osasuna playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Athletic Bilbao x Osasuna?

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Analysis from Athletic Bilbao x Osasuna for the Spain Primera Liga – 11 of May

When the best bet on Athletic Bilbao x Osasuna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1116334 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Osasuna

Is it a good idea to bet on Athletic Bilbao?

🔵 Athletic Bilbao: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $328.00;
• And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$148.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$384.00.

Is betting on Osasuna worth it?

🔴 Osasuna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $280.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$680.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao x Osasuna

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Athletic Bilbao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Osasuna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Athletic Bilbao and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Athletic Bilbao.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao x Osasuna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.