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Home ยป Predictions ยป La Liga ยป CD Alaves x Girona Betting tips for May 10 in Spain Primera Liga
Friday, 10 May 2024, 19h00 Spain Primera Liga
CD Alaves CD Alaves
PREDICTION Girona Wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Girona Girona
ODD: @1.94 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Alaves x Girona Betting tips for May 10 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for CD Alaves x Girona, Friday, 10/5/2024
๐Ÿ“… 10/5/2024
19:00
CD Alaves CD Alaves
3.64
X
3.60
Girona Girona
1.94

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Alaves x Girona:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Girona wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Girona, you can win up to $970.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for CD Alaves x Girona:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Alaves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $427.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Girona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Girona, CD Alaves scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between CD Alaves x Girona, with CD Alaves as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, CD Alaves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Girona.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Alaves x Girona for the Spain Primera Liga – 10 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ CD Alaves X Girona – Spain Primera Liga
๐Ÿ“… 10 of May, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต CD Alaves – Winning probability: 10.97% | Fair line: 9.12
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.67% | Fair line: 5.08
๐Ÿ”ด Girona – Winning probability: 69.36% | Fair line: 1.44
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CD Alaves
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Alaves x Girona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1115880 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Alaves x Girona

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Alaves?

๐Ÿ”ต CD Alaves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $290.40
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$599.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Girona?

๐Ÿ”ด Girona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – profiting $648.60;
  • And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$338.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Alaves x Girona

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CD Alaves
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Alaves x Girona

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 CD Alaves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 CD Alaves.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 CD Alaves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Alaves x Girona

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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