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Home » Predictions » CD Alaves x Villarreal Betting tips for February 10 in Spain Primera Liga
Saturday, 10 February 2024, 13h00 Spain Primera Liga
CD Alaves CD Alaves
PREDICTION CD Alaves wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Villarreal Villarreal
ODD: @2.16 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

CD Alaves x Villarreal Betting tips for February 10 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for CD Alaves x Villarreal, Saturday, 10/2/2024
📅 10/2/2024
13:00
CD Alaves CD Alaves
2.16
X
3.40
Villarreal Villarreal
3.22

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Alaves x Villarreal:

🔮 CD Alaves wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Alaves, you can win up to $1080.00!

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The main points for the tip for CD Alaves x Villarreal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Alaves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Villarreal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CD Alaves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Villarreal, CD Alaves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between CD Alaves x Villarreal, with CD Alaves as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Villarreal conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, CD Alaves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Villarreal.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on CD Alaves x Villarreal?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Alaves x Villarreal, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Alaves x Villarreal for the Spain Primera Liga – 10 of February

🏟️ CD Alaves X Villarreal – Spain Primera Liga
📅 10 of February, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 CD Alaves – Winning probability: 54.62% | Fair line: 1.83
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.16% | Fair line: 3.43
🔴 Villarreal – Winning probability: 16.22% | Fair line: 6.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CD Alaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Alaves x Villarreal is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1054913 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Alaves x Villarreal

Is it worth betting on CD Alaves?

🔵 CD Alaves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$188.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $696.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.00.

Is it worth betting on Villarreal?

🔴 Villarreal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $355.20;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$484.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Alaves x Villarreal

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CD Alaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Alaves x Villarreal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 CD Alaves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CD Alaves.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Alaves x Villarreal

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves