Granada x Real Madrid Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Primera Liga
📅 11/5/2024 16:30 |
Granada 5.92 |
X 4.57 |
Real Madrid 1.46 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Granada x Real Madrid:
🔮 Real Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $730.00!
The main points for the tip for Granada x Real Madrid: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $129.0. |
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Analysis from Granada x Real Madrid for the Spain Primera Liga – 11 of May
🏟️ Granada X Real Madrid – Spain Primera Liga |
When the best bet on Granada x Real Madrid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1115944 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Granada x Real Madrid
Is betting on Granada worth it?
🔵 Granada: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $295.20;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$644.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $785.40;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$5.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Real Madrid?
🔴 Real Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $335.80
- And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$65.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Granada x Real Madrid
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Granada
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Granada x Real Madrid
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Granada and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Granada.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Granada x Real Madrid
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.