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Home ยป Predictions ยป La Liga ยป Mallorca x Las Palmas Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Primera Liga
Saturday, 11 May 2024, 12h00 Spain Primera Liga
Mallorca Mallorca
PREDICTION Mallorca wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Las Palmas Las Palmas
ODD: @1.72 Don't miss this prediction!

Mallorca x Las Palmas Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Mallorca x Las Palmas, Saturday, 11/5/2024
๐Ÿ“… 11/5/2024
12:00
Mallorca Mallorca
1.72
X
3.40
Las Palmas Las Palmas
5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mallorca x Las Palmas:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Mallorca wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mallorca, you can win up to $860.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Mallorca x Las Palmas:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mallorca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Las Palmas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Mallorca matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Las Palmas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Mallorca conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Las Palmas.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Las Palmas as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Mallorca x Las Palmas for the Spain Primera Liga – 11 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Mallorca X Las Palmas – Spain Primera Liga
๐Ÿ“… 11 of May, 2024 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต Mallorca – Winning probability: 71.23% | Fair line: 1.4
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.56% | Fair line: 5.39
๐Ÿ”ด Las Palmas – Winning probability: 10.21% | Fair line: 9.8
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mallorca
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Mallorca x Las Palmas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1115944 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mallorca x Las Palmas

Is it a good idea to bet on Mallorca?

๐Ÿ”ต Mallorca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $511.20;
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$221.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $456.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$354.00.

Is it worth betting on Las Palmas?

๐Ÿ”ด Las Palmas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$500.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mallorca x Las Palmas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mallorca
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mallorca x Las Palmas

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Mallorca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Mallorca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Las Palmas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mallorca x Las Palmas

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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