Rayo Vallecano x Almeria Betting tips for May 5 in Spain Primera Liga
| 📅 5/5/2024 19:00 |
 Rayo Vallecano1.56 |
X 4.00 |
Almeria  5.75 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Rayo Vallecano x Almeria:
🔮 Rayo Vallecano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rayo Vallecano, you can win up to $780.00!
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The main points for the tip for Rayo Vallecano x Almeria: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rayo Vallecano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0. |
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Analysis from Rayo Vallecano x Almeria for the Spain Primera Liga – 5 of May
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🏟️ Rayo Vallecano X Almeria – Spain Primera Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Rayo Vallecano and Almeria.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1112029 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Rayo Vallecano x Almeria
Is it worth betting on Rayo Vallecano?
🔵 Rayo Vallecano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 71.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 720 times – profiting $403.20;
- And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$123.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$200.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Almeria?
🔴 Almeria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $380.00
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$540.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Rayo Vallecano x Almeria
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Rayo Vallecano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rayo Vallecano x Almeria
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Rayo Vallecano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Rayo Vallecano.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rayo Vallecano x Almeria
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
