Sevilla x Granada Betting tips for May 5 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Sevilla x Granada, Sunday, 5/5/2024

📅 5/5/2024 19:00

Sevilla 1.53

X 4.19

Granada 5.96

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sevilla x Granada:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Sevilla x Granada: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sevilla in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $337.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Granada in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Sevilla scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Granada, Sevilla scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Granada matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Sevilla matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sevilla conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Granada conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Sevilla has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Granada.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Sevilla x Granada?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sevilla x Granada, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sevilla x Granada for the Spain Primera Liga – 5 of May

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sevilla x Granada right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1112029 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sevilla x Granada

Is it a good idea to bet on Sevilla?

🔵 Sevilla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $254.40;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$265.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $1212.20
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$592.20.

Is it worth betting on Granada?

🔴 Granada: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $694.40;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$165.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sevilla x Granada

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sevilla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sevilla x Granada

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Sevilla and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Sevilla.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Granada.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sevilla x Granada

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.