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Home ยป Predictions ยป La Liga ยป Villarreal x Sevilla Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Primera Liga
Saturday, 11 May 2024, 14h15 Spain Primera Liga
Villarreal Villarreal
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 31% 1 X 2
Sevilla Sevilla
ODD: @3.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Villarreal x Sevilla Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Villarreal x Sevilla, Saturday, 11/5/2024
๐Ÿ“… 11/5/2024
14:15
Villarreal Villarreal
1.92
X
3.75
Sevilla Sevilla
3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Villarreal x Sevilla:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Villarreal x Sevilla:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Villarreal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $272.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sevilla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Villarreal scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sevilla scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sevilla, Villarreal scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Sevilla matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Sevilla has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Villarreal has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sevilla playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Villarreal x Sevilla?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Villarreal x Sevilla for the Spain Primera Liga – 11 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Villarreal X Sevilla – Spain Primera Liga
๐Ÿ“… 11 of May, 2024 – 14:15
๐Ÿ”ต Villarreal – Winning probability: 51.07% | Fair line: 1.96
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.76% | Fair line: 3.15
๐Ÿ”ด Sevilla – Winning probability: 17.17% | Fair line: 5.82
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Villarreal
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Villarreal and Sevilla.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1115944 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Villarreal x Sevilla

Is it worth betting on Villarreal?

๐Ÿ”ต Villarreal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $469.20;
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$20.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $880.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$200.00.

Should you bet on Sevilla?

๐Ÿ”ด Sevilla: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $425.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$405.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Villarreal x Sevilla

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Villarreal
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villarreal x Sevilla

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Villarreal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Villarreal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Villarreal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villarreal x Sevilla

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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