Leon x Mazatlan FC Betting tips for November 6 in Mexico Liga MX
| 📅 6/11/2024 01:00 |
 Leon2.02 |
X 3.57 |
Mazatlan FC  3.15 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Leon x Mazatlan FC:
🔮 Leon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leon, you can win up to $1010.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Leon x Mazatlan FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Leon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-120.0. |
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Analysis from Leon x Mazatlan FC for the Mexico Liga MX – 6 of November
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🏟️ Leon X Mazatlan FC – Mexico Liga MX |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leon x Mazatlan FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217445 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Leon x Mazatlan FC
Is betting on Leon worth it?
🔵 Leon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 650 times – profiting $663.00;
- And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$313.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $462.60;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$357.40.
Should you bet on Mazatlan FC?
🔴 Mazatlan FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $365.50;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$464.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Leon x Mazatlan FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Leon
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leon x Mazatlan FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Leon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Leon.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Mazatlan FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leon x Mazatlan FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
