Leon x Puebla Betting tips for April 12 in Mexico Liga MX
| 📅 12/4/2025 23:00 |
 Leon1.60 |
X 3.90 |
Puebla  4.85 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Leon x Puebla:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1950.00!
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The main points for the tip for Leon x Puebla: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Leon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $232.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Leon x Puebla?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Leon x Puebla, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Leon x Puebla for the Mexico Liga MX – 12 of April
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🏟️ Leon X Puebla – Mexico Liga MX |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Leon and Puebla.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302086 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Leon x Puebla
Is betting on Leon worth it?
🔵 Leon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $366.00
- And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$24.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $754.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$14.00.
Is it worth betting on Puebla?
🔴 Puebla: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $500.50;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$369.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Leon x Puebla
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Leon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leon x Puebla
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Leon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Leon.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Leon.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leon x Puebla
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
