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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » Austin FC x Charlotte FC Betting tips for July 21 in USA MLS
Sunday, 21 July 2024, 00h30 USA MLS
Austin FC Austin FC
PREDICTION Charlotte FC Wins Probability 43% 1 X 2
Charlotte FC Charlotte FC
ODD: @3.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Austin FC x Charlotte FC Betting tips for July 21 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Austin FC x Charlotte FC, Sunday, 21/7/2024
📅 21/7/2024
00:30
Austin FC Austin FC
2.08
X
3.40
Charlotte FC Charlotte FC
3.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Austin FC x Charlotte FC:

🔮 Charlotte FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Charlotte FC, you can win up to $1610.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Austin FC x Charlotte FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Austin FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-28.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Charlotte FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $695.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Austin FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Charlotte FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Austin FC x Charlotte FC?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Austin FC x Charlotte FC for the USA MLS – 21 of July

🏟️ Austin FC X Charlotte FC – USA MLS
📅 21 of July, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Austin FC – Winning probability: 30.54% | Fair line: 3.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.01% | Fair line: 3.85
🔴 Charlotte FC – Winning probability: 43.46% | Fair line: 2.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Austin FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Austin FC x Charlotte FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1148348 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Austin FC x Charlotte FC

Is betting on Austin FC worth it?

🔵 Austin FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $334.80;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$355.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$116.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Charlotte FC?

🔴 Charlotte FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $954.60
  • And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$384.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Austin FC x Charlotte FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Austin FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Austin FC x Charlotte FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Austin FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Austin FC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Austin FC x Charlotte FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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