Austin FC x Colorado Rapids Betting tips for October 20 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Austin FC x Colorado Rapids, Sunday, 20/10/2024

📅 20/10/2024 01:00

Austin FC 2.36

X 3.85

Colorado Rapids 2.59

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Austin FC x Colorado Rapids:

🔮 Colorado Rapids wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Colorado Rapids, you can win up to $1295.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Austin FC x Colorado Rapids: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Austin FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Colorado Rapids in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Austin FC x Colorado Rapids, with Austin FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Colorado Rapids matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Austin FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Colorado Rapids conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Austin FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Colorado Rapids.

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Analysis from Austin FC x Colorado Rapids for the USA MLS – 20 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Austin FC x Colorado Rapids right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Austin FC x Colorado Rapids

Is betting on Austin FC worth it?

🔵 Austin FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $584.80;
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $570.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Colorado Rapids?

🔴 Colorado Rapids: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $588.30;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$41.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Austin FC x Colorado Rapids

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Austin FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Austin FC x Colorado Rapids

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Austin FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Austin FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Austin FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Austin FC x Colorado Rapids

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.