Chicago Fire x DC United Betting tips for September 7 in USA MLS
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7/9/2024 21:30 |
 Chicago Fire2.05 |
X 3.60 |
DC United  3.28 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chicago Fire x DC United:
๐ฎ Chicago Fire wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chicago Fire, you can win up to $1025.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Chicago Fire x DC United: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Chicago Fire in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. |
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Analysis from Chicago Fire x DC United for the USA MLS – 7 of September
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๐๏ธ Chicago Fire X DC United – USA MLS |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chicago Fire x DC United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1175046 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Chicago Fire x DC United
Is it a good idea to bet on Chicago Fire?
๐ต Chicago Fire: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – profiting $546.00;
- And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$66.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $572.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$208.00.
Is betting on DC United worth it?
๐ด DC United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $592.80;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$147.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chicago Fire x DC United
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Chicago Fire
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chicago Fire x DC United
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Chicago Fire and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Chicago Fire.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 DC United.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chicago Fire x DC United
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
