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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC Betting tips for September 7 in USA MLS
Saturday, 07 September 2024, 21h30 USA MLS
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
PREDICTION Houston Dynamo wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
ODD: @2.17 Don't miss this prediction!

Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC Betting tips for September 7 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC, Saturday, 7/9/2024
📅 7/9/2024
21:30
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
2.17
X
3.60
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
2.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC:

🔮 Houston Dynamo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Houston Dynamo, you can win up to $1085.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Houston Dynamo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Los Angeles FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $585.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Los Angeles FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Los Angeles FC, Houston Dynamo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Houston Dynamo has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Los Angeles FC playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC for the USA MLS – 7 of September

🏟️ Houston Dynamo X Los Angeles FC – USA MLS
📅 7 of September, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Houston Dynamo – Winning probability: 57.94% | Fair line: 1.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.60% | Fair line: 5.38
🔴 Los Angeles FC – Winning probability: 23.45% | Fair line: 4.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Houston Dynamo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1175046 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC

Is it worth betting on Houston Dynamo?

🔵 Houston Dynamo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $678.60;
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$258.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $494.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Los Angeles FC?

🔴 Los Angeles FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $437.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$333.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Houston Dynamo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Houston Dynamo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Houston Dynamo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Houston Dynamo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Houston Dynamo x Los Angeles FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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