LA Galaxy x Austin FC Betting tips for October 5 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for LA Galaxy x Austin FC, Saturday, 5/10/2024

📅 5/10/2024 23:30

LA Galaxy 1.56

X 4.55

Austin FC 4.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for LA Galaxy x Austin FC:

🔮 LA Galaxy wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on LA Galaxy, you can win up to $780.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for LA Galaxy x Austin FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on LA Galaxy in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $304.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Austin FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $330.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, LA Galaxy scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Austin FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Austin FC, LA Galaxy scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 LA Galaxy is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession. 👉 LA Galaxy is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on LA Galaxy x Austin FC?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from LA Galaxy x Austin FC for the USA MLS – 5 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between LA Galaxy and Austin FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194677 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for LA Galaxy x Austin FC

Should you bet on LA Galaxy?

🔵 LA Galaxy: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $436.80;
• And would lose other 220 times – having a loss of -$220.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$216.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $355.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$545.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Austin FC?

🔴 Austin FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 120 times – profiting $444.00;
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$436.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match LA Galaxy x Austin FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 LA Galaxy
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for LA Galaxy x Austin FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 LA Galaxy, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 LA Galaxy.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 LA Galaxy.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for LA Galaxy x Austin FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.