LA Galaxy x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for December 7 in USA MLS Play-Offs

Our betting tip for LA Galaxy x New York Red Bulls, Saturday, 7/12/2024

📅 7/12/2024 21:00

LA Galaxy 1.68

X 4.10

New York Red Bulls 4.27

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for LA Galaxy x New York Red Bulls:

🔮 LA Galaxy wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on LA Galaxy, you can win up to $840.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for LA Galaxy x New York Red Bulls: 👉 If you had bet $100 on LA Galaxy in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $327.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on New York Red Bulls in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $933.0. 👉 New York Red Bulls did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, LA Galaxy scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, New York Red Bulls scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 New York Red Bulls matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 LA Galaxy is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 New York Red Bulls is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on LA Galaxy x New York Red Bulls?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from LA Galaxy x New York Red Bulls for the USA MLS Play-Offs – 7 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for LA Galaxy x New York Red Bulls right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233619 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for LA Galaxy x New York Red Bulls

Is betting on LA Galaxy worth it?

🔵 LA Galaxy: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $469.20;
• And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$159.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $527.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$303.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on New York Red Bulls?

🔴 New York Red Bulls: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $425.10;
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$444.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match LA Galaxy x New York Red Bulls

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 LA Galaxy
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for LA Galaxy x New York Red Bulls

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 LA Galaxy, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 LA Galaxy.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 LA Galaxy.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for LA Galaxy x New York Red Bulls

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.