Los Angeles FC x San Jose Earthquakes Betting tips for April 13 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Los Angeles FC x San Jose Earthquakes, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 02:30

Los Angeles FC 1.48

X 4.45

San Jose Earthquakes 5.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Los Angeles FC x San Jose Earthquakes:

🔮 Los Angeles FC wins the match
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The main points for the tip for Los Angeles FC x San Jose Earthquakes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Los Angeles FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $210.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, San Jose Earthquakes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against San Jose Earthquakes, Los Angeles FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 San Jose Earthquakes matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, San Jose Earthquakes conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Los Angeles FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against San Jose Earthquakes. 👉 Los Angeles FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against San Jose Earthquakes playing at home.

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Analysis from Los Angeles FC x San Jose Earthquakes for the USA MLS – 13 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Los Angeles FC x San Jose Earthquakes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302086 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Los Angeles FC x San Jose Earthquakes

Is it a good idea to bet on Los Angeles FC?

🔵 Los Angeles FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 760 times – profiting $364.80;
• And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$124.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $517.50;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$332.50.

Should you bet on San Jose Earthquakes?

🔴 San Jose Earthquakes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$496.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Los Angeles FC x San Jose Earthquakes

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Los Angeles FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Los Angeles FC x San Jose Earthquakes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Los Angeles FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Los Angeles FC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Los Angeles FC x San Jose Earthquakes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.