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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps Betting tips for November 9 in USA MLS Play-Offs
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 04h00 USA MLS Play-Offs
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
PREDICTION Los Angeles FC wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps Betting tips for November 9 in USA MLS Play-Offs

Our betting tip for Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
04:00
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
1.50
X
4.50
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
5.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps:

🔮 Los Angeles FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Los Angeles FC, you can win up to $750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Los Angeles FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Vancouver Whitecaps in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Los Angeles FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Vancouver Whitecaps scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Vancouver Whitecaps, Los Angeles FC scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Vancouver Whitecaps matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps, with Los Angeles FC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Vancouver Whitecaps conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Los Angeles FC is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Los Angeles FC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Vancouver Whitecaps playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Vancouver Whitecaps as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps for the USA MLS Play-Offs – 9 of November

🏟️ Los Angeles FC X Vancouver Whitecaps – USA MLS Play-Offs
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 04:00
🔵 Los Angeles FC – Winning probability: 78.52% | Fair line: 1.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.15% | Fair line: 8.23
🔴 Vancouver Whitecaps – Winning probability: 9.33% | Fair line: 10.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Los Angeles FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218333 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps

Is betting on Los Angeles FC worth it?

🔵 Los Angeles FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $395.00;
  • And would lose other 210 times – losing -$210.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$185.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.00.

Is betting on Vancouver Whitecaps worth it?

🔴 Vancouver Whitecaps: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $382.50;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$527.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Los Angeles FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Los Angeles FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Los Angeles FC.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Los Angeles FC x Vancouver Whitecaps

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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