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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » New York City FC x FC Cincinnati Betting tips for November 2 in USA MLS Play-Offs
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 21h00 USA MLS Play-Offs
New York City FC New York City FC
PREDICTION New York City FC wins Probability 52% 1 X 2
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
ODD: @2.14 Don't miss this prediction!

New York City FC x FC Cincinnati Betting tips for November 2 in USA MLS Play-Offs

Our betting tip for New York City FC x FC Cincinnati, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
21:00
New York City FC New York City FC
2.14
X
3.70
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
2.87

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for New York City FC x FC Cincinnati:

🔮 New York City FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on New York City FC, you can win up to $1070.00!

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The main points for the tip for New York City FC x FC Cincinnati:

👉 If you had bet $100 on New York City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-176.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Cincinnati in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $210.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, New York City FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, FC Cincinnati scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against FC Cincinnati, New York City FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 FC Cincinnati matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, New York City FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, FC Cincinnati conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, New York City FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against FC Cincinnati.

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Summary

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Analysis from New York City FC x FC Cincinnati for the USA MLS Play-Offs – 2 of November

🏟️ New York City FC X FC Cincinnati – USA MLS Play-Offs
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 New York City FC – Winning probability: 52.93% | Fair line: 1.89
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.31% | Fair line: 6.99
🔴 FC Cincinnati – Winning probability: 32.76% | Fair line: 3.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for New York City FC x FC Cincinnati right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1214258 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for New York City FC x FC Cincinnati

Should you bet on New York City FC?

🔵 New York City FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $604.20;
  • And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$134.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $378.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$482.00.

Should you bet on FC Cincinnati?

🔴 FC Cincinnati: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $617.10;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$52.90. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match New York City FC x FC Cincinnati

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for New York City FC x FC Cincinnati

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 New York City FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 New York City FC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for New York City FC x FC Cincinnati

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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