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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » New York City FC x Nashville SC Betting tips for October 6 in USA MLS
Sunday, 06 October 2024, 17h00 USA MLS
New York City FC New York City FC
PREDICTION New York City FC wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Nashville SC Nashville SC
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

New York City FC x Nashville SC Betting tips for October 6 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for New York City FC x Nashville SC, Sunday, 6/10/2024
📅 6/10/2024
17:00
New York City FC New York City FC
1.57
X
4.10
Nashville SC Nashville SC
5.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for New York City FC x Nashville SC:

🔮 New York City FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on New York City FC, you can win up to $785.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for New York City FC x Nashville SC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on New York City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nashville SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, New York City FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, New York City FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on New York City FC x Nashville SC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on New York City FC x Nashville SC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from New York City FC x Nashville SC for the USA MLS – 6 of October

🏟️ New York City FC X Nashville SC – USA MLS
📅 6 of October, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 New York City FC – Winning probability: 78.31% | Fair line: 1.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.14% | Fair line: 7.61
🔴 Nashville SC – Winning probability: 8.55% | Fair line: 11.69
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for New York City FC x Nashville SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1195226 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for New York City FC x Nashville SC

Is betting on New York City FC worth it?

🔵 New York City FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $444.60;
  • And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$224.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $403.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$467.00.

Is betting on Nashville SC worth it?

🔴 Nashville SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$550.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match New York City FC x Nashville SC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for New York City FC x Nashville SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 New York City FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 New York City FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Nashville SC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for New York City FC x Nashville SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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