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Home Β» Predictions Β» Major League Soccer Β» New York City FC x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for November 23 in USA MLS Play-Offs
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 22h30 USA MLS Play-Offs
New York City FC New York City FC
PREDICTION No tip
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
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New York City FC x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for November 23 in USA MLS Play-Offs

Our betting tip for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls, Saturday, 23/11/2024
πŸ“… 23/11/2024
22:30
New York City FC New York City FC
2.21
X
3.50
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
3.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

Important information for your tip for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on New York City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $44.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on New York Red Bulls in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $203.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, New York City FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, New York Red Bulls scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 New York City FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, New York City FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ New York City FC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ New York City FC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against New York Red Bulls playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on New York City FC x New York Red Bulls?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from New York City FC x New York Red Bulls for the USA MLS Play-Offs – 23 of November

🏟️ New York City FC X New York Red Bulls – USA MLS Play-Offs
πŸ“… 23 of November, 2024 – 22:30
πŸ”΅ New York City FC – Winning probability: 47.85% | Fair line: 2.09
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.81% | Fair line: 4.03
πŸ”΄ New York Red Bulls – Winning probability: 27.33% | Fair line: 3.66
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

Should you bet on New York City FC?

πŸ”΅ New York City FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $580.80;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$60.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $625.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$125.00.

Is betting on New York Red Bulls worth it?

πŸ”΄ New York Red Bulls: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$190.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 New York City FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 New York City FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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