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Home » Predictions » New York City FC x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for November 23 in USA MLS Play-Offs
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 22h30 USA MLS Play-Offs
New York City FC New York City FC
PREDICTION New York City FC wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
ODD: @2.21 Don't miss this prediction!

New York City FC x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for November 23 in USA MLS Play-Offs

Our betting tip for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
22:30
New York City FC New York City FC
2.21
X
3.50
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
2.94

Our algorithm has selected this tip for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls:

🔮 New York City FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on New York City FC, you can win up to $1105.00!

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The main points for the tip for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls:

👉 If you had bet $100 on New York City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $44.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on New York Red Bulls in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $203.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, New York City FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, New York Red Bulls scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 New York City FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, New York City FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 New York City FC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 New York City FC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against New York Red Bulls playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from New York City FC x New York Red Bulls for the USA MLS Play-Offs – 23 of November

🏟️ New York City FC X New York Red Bulls – USA MLS Play-Offs
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 22:30
🔵 New York City FC – Winning probability: 54.34% | Fair line: 1.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.34% | Fair line: 5.17
🔴 New York Red Bulls – Winning probability: 26.32% | Fair line: 3.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

Is it a good idea to bet on New York City FC?

🔵 New York City FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.21. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $653.40;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$193.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $475.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$335.00.

Should you bet on New York Red Bulls?

🔴 New York Red Bulls: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $504.40;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$235.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 New York City FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 New York City FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 New York City FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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