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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for December 1 in USA MLS Play-Offs
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 00h30 USA MLS Play-Offs
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
PREDICTION Orlando City SC wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
ODD: @1.82 Don't miss this prediction!

Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for December 1 in USA MLS Play-Offs

Our betting tip for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
00:30
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
1.82
X
3.70
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls:

🔮 Orlando City SC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Orlando City SC, you can win up to $910.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls:

👉 If you had bet $100 on New York Red Bulls in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $523.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Orlando City SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, New York Red Bulls scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against New York Red Bulls, Orlando City SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Orlando City SC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Orlando City SC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against New York Red Bulls playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls for the USA MLS Play-Offs – 1 of December

🏟️ Orlando City SC X New York Red Bulls – USA MLS Play-Offs
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Orlando City SC – Winning probability: 65.00% | Fair line: 1.54
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.37% | Fair line: 5.44
🔴 New York Red Bulls – Winning probability: 16.63% | Fair line: 6.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Orlando City SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230061 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls

Is it worth betting on Orlando City SC?

🔵 Orlando City SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $533.00
  • And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$183.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$334.00.

Should you bet on New York Red Bulls?

🔴 New York Red Bulls: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $510.00;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$320.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Orlando City SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Orlando City SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Orlando City SC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Orlando City SC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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